Origins of political predispositions
Updated Mar 9, 2025
Monday:
Announcements
Egan (2012)
Introduction to Political Socialization
Wednesday:
Friday:
Draft Survey Instrument by Wednesday, Discuss/Revisons by Friday
Survey in the field this weekend
Monday: Workshop Planned Comparisons
Wednesday: Workshop Results
Friday: Workshop Presentations
Monday: December 2: Finalize Presentations
Wednesday: December 4: Presentations Part 1
Friday: December 4: Presentations Part 2
Or we could do presentations during Reading period…
Today:
Friday:
Finish up discussion of socialization
Schools
Institutions
Biology and Politics
Talk survey next week. No readings
Take a few minutes to review your notes on Egan (2012)
What explains the political cohesion of lesbian, gay, and bisexual citizens?
Is it a function of identity mobilization
Or a reflection of selection effects (common attributes that predict shared identity)
While the preponderance of the evidence is that the degree to which one is sexually attracted to those of the same sex is a trait that is fixed at birth or in early childhood, being gay is a chosen identity – an identity acquired among a non-random subset of those endowed with the trait of same-sex attraction.
Past work on identities suggest chosen identities → + cohesion
Mobilization
Acculturation
Egan proposes an alternative mechanism: selection
“[T]he process by which stable characteristics that are truly ‘unmoved movers’ – the indelible aspects of one’s background and upbringing – help to determine whether a person self-selects into membership of a politically relevant group” (p. 598)
“To the extent that group members are loyal partisans for reasons that antecede the acquisition of group identity – and therefore are less easily moved by appeals to group interests – it becomes more difficult for group leaders to make a credible threat to withhold support from their allies in order to win policy concession” (p. 598)
Failing to control for “pre-treatment” variables (things that predict identity acquisition) biases our estimates of the effects of that identity
Controlling for factors “post-treatment” likewise obscures the effect of identity, since these factors may be influenced by identity acquisition
“If selection is at work in making a group’s members politically distinctive, the ceteris paribus differences in political views between group members and the general population should be reduced after conditioning on the effects of background characteristics that shape identity choice and are also known to be determinants of political views.”
In addition, if selection effects are present, it should be the case that group members are distinct from non-group members from the moment they identify with the group and thus the development of political cohesion should not require the mobilization processes that can accompany the passage of time, contact with group members or receipt of co-ordinating messages from group leaders
Data: GSS and exit poll surveys
Method: Matching
Matching is a statistical procedure to adjust for differences between groups in observational data
When we match we’re trying to recreate what is accomplished by random assignment in an experiment
While random assignment guarantees this for all variables (observed and unobserved), matching provides balance only on observed covariates.
Egan argues selection accounts for group cohesion among LGB individuals
Matching as a tool for making causal claims with observational data
Possible critiques and/or extensions?
Two views of political socialization:
Easton takes a more macro view of political socialization in a broader effort to understand the persistence and stability of political systems
Goal is to generate diffuse support/legitimacy for the system
Conservative/Status quo bias
Source: Conover (1991)
Empirical Challenges
Hard to get data
Mixed results
Theoretical Challenges
Take a few moments to write down some possible agents of socialization
In groups discuss:
Family
Schools
Peers
Media
Religion
Parties
Institutions (“The state”)
Family
Schools
Peers
Media
Religion
Parties
Institutions (“The state”)
What evidence is there of inter-generational transmission?
What makes transmission more or less likely?
Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission?
What are the long term consequences?
How well does a parent’s score predict a child’s score?
Social learning theory suggests transmission rates should be higher when:
What happens if we control for alternative explanations
If children are at least partly the product of their parents’ role as political socializers, then the degree of continuity among the socializees should represent the residue of parental influence over time.
The reason politicized parents are more likely to end up with adult children who have divergent partisan preferences is that, by facilitating political discussions at home, they make the offspring more attentive to the political messages of their times (p 848)
- How would we know that it is schools and not factors associated with attending different schools that explained variation in political attitudes and behavior?
Green et al. (2011) randomly assign some students within schools to receive and enhanced civics education
Does civics education:
increase knowledge?
does that knowledge increase support for civil liberties
Citizens shape politics and policies
Politics and policies can also shape citizens
Socialization focuses on environmental determinants of political attitudes and behavior (Nurture)
A growing body of research suggests many political differences have a dispositional component rooted in biological differences (Nature)
Different approaches for studying biology and politics
Twin studies
Candidate Gene studies
Physiological studies
Big 5 Personality traits
A = Additive genetic variance (Nature)
C = Shared environmental variance (Nurture)
E = Non-shared environmental variance (and measurement error)
Twin studies establish heritability but don’t address mechanism
Candidate gene studies attempt to go further looking at variation in specific genes (alleles) known to be associated with specific biological outcomes
Candidate gene studies are challenging and problematic
Variation in physiological responses is highly heritable (more biologically determined) and more easily observable
Map this variation onto political differences suggest they too have a heritable component
Hard to study physiological responses “in the wild”
Personality traits are also heritable and more easily measured
Political socialization seeks to explain “what, how, and when political attitudes and behavior are learned”
Micro (process) vs Macro (outcomes)
Studying socialization is hard
Mechanisms often inferred rather than observed
Need good theory and design
Different agents of socialization
Variation in attitudes and behavior a product of both nature and nurture
POLS 1140
Social Learning