POLS 1140

Origins of political predispositions

Updated Mar 9, 2025

Monday

Plan

Monday:

  • Announcements

    • Group Projects and Revised (Again) Timeline
  • Egan (2012)

  • Introduction to Political Socialization

Wednesday:

  • Family (Stoker, Jennings and Bowers 2009), Schools, and the State as agents of socialization

Friday:

  • Biology in Politics (Alford, Funk and Hibbing, 2005)

Group Projects

  • Draft Survey Instrument by Wednesday, Discuss/Revisons by Friday

  • Survey in the field this weekend

Next Week

  • Monday: Workshop Planned Comparisons

  • Wednesday: Workshop Results

  • Friday: Workshop Presentations

Last Week

  • Monday: December 2: Finalize Presentations

  • Wednesday: December 4: Presentations Part 1

  • Friday: December 4: Presentations Part 2

Or we could do presentations during Reading period…

Final Papers

  • “Five things you need to know about …”

  • Flexible format any topic from the course

    • Should discuss at least 3 articles.
  • Prompt

    • Example 1
    • Example 2

Final Paper Structure

  1. Introduce the topic:
  2. Lay out key theories and topics
  3. Present a major debate that interests you
  4. Discuss revisions or extensions to that debate
  5. Offer a direction for future research

Final Paper Structure

  • What is partisanship?
  • Why does partisanship matter?
  • Partisanship is a social identity
  • Partisanship is a heuristic for voters
  • Partisanship bleeds into our personal lives

Wednesday

Plan

Today:

  • Political socialization
    • Family
    • Schools
    • Political Institutions

Friday:

  • Results of Last week’s survey
  • Biology and Politics
  • Finally get you draft of the survey (sorry, tenure stuff…)

Talk on Friday:

Friday

Plan

Finish up discussion of socialization

  • Schools

  • Institutions

  • Biology and Politics

    • Twin Studies
    • Gene Studies
    • Physiological studies
    • Personality
  • Talk survey next week. No readings

Talk Today:

Egan (2012)

Review

Take a few minutes to review your notes on Egan (2012)

  • What is the research question?
  • What is the theoretical framework
  • What is the expectation and design
  • What are the results?

Research Question

What explains the political cohesion of lesbian, gay, and bisexual citizens?

  • Is it a function of identity mobilization

  • Or a reflection of selection effects (common attributes that predict shared identity)

Theoretical framework

  • Distinguishes between sexual preferences and sexual identity

While the preponderance of the evidence is that the degree to which one is sexually attracted to those of the same sex is a trait that is fixed at birth or in early childhood, being gay is a chosen identity – an identity acquired among a non-random subset of those endowed with the trait of same-sex attraction.

  • Past work on identities suggest chosen identities → + cohesion

    • Mobilization

    • Acculturation

  • Egan proposes an alternative mechanism: selection

Selection and group cohesion

“[T]he process by which stable characteristics that are truly ‘unmoved movers’ – the indelible aspects of one’s background and upbringing – help to determine whether a person self-selects into membership of a politically relevant group” (p. 598)

Why Selection Matters: Substantively

“To the extent that group members are loyal partisans for reasons that antecede the acquisition of group identity – and therefore are less easily moved by appeals to group interests – it becomes more difficult for group leaders to make a credible threat to withhold support from their allies in order to win policy concession” (p. 598)

Why Selection Matters Empirically

  • Failing to control for “pre-treatment” variables (things that predict identity acquisition) biases our estimates of the effects of that identity

  • Controlling for factors “post-treatment” likewise obscures the effect of identity, since these factors may be influenced by identity acquisition

Expectations:

“If selection is at work in making a group’s members politically distinctive, the ceteris paribus differences in political views between group members and the general population should be reduced after conditioning on the effects of background characteristics that shape identity choice and are also known to be determinants of political views.”

  • Accounting for selection should reduce differences

Expectations:

In addition, if selection effects are present, it should be the case that group members are distinct from non-group members from the moment they identify with the group and thus the development of political cohesion should not require the mobilization processes that can accompany the passage of time, contact with group members or receipt of co-ordinating messages from group leaders

  • Differences should exist in the absence of mobilization acculturation

Design

  • Data: GSS and exit poll surveys

  • Method: Matching

Matching

  • Matching is a statistical procedure to adjust for differences between groups in observational data

  • When we match we’re trying to recreate what is accomplished by random assignment in an experiment

  • While random assignment guarantees this for all variables (observed and unobserved), matching provides balance only on observed covariates.

Little Variation in Support based on Candidates LGB Voting Records

Sexuality vs LGB Identification

Initial evidence of selection

Further evidence of selection

Matching creates balance on observed covariates

Quantifying selection effects

Selection explains group cohesion of LGB on policy and ideology

Differences exist before mobilization and acculturation

Summary

  • Egan argues selection accounts for group cohesion among LGB individuals

  • Matching as a tool for making causal claims with observational data

    • Useful tool but not a magic wand
  • Possible critiques and/or extensions?

Political Socialization

Overview

  • What is political socialization?
  • What are the agents of political socialization?
  • Nature vs nurture?

What is political socialization?

  • Broadly research on political socialization seeks to explain “what, how, and when political attitudes and behavior are learned” (Hepburn 1995)

What is political socialization?

Two views of political socialization:

  • Micro: Socialization is about the process of learning
  • Macro: Socialization is about the making of citizens

Hyman (1959)

  • Hyman defines political socialization is a person’s “learning of social patterns corresponding to his societal position as mediated through various agencies of society”

Social Learning

Easton and the making of citizens

  • Easton takes a more macro view of political socialization in a broader effort to understand the persistence and stability of political systems

  • Goal is to generate diffuse support/legitimacy for the system

  • Conservative/Status quo bias

Political Socialization and Political Learning

Source: Conover (1991)

The rise (and fall) of political socialization

What explains this

  • Empirical Challenges

    • Hard to get data

    • Mixed results

  • Theoretical Challenges

    • Lack of conceptual clarity

What are the agents of political socialization?

Take a few moments to write down some possible agents of socialization

In groups discuss:

  • Mechanisms (Why these agents have an effect)
  • Designs (How would you know?)

What are the agents of political socialization?

  • Family

  • Schools

  • Peers

  • Media

  • Religion

  • Parties

  • Institutions (“The state”)

What are the agents of political socialization?

  • Family

  • Schools

  • Peers

  • Media

  • Religion

  • Parties

  • Institutions (“The state”)

Family as an agent of socialization

Family as an agent of socialization

Research questions

  • What evidence is there of inter-generational transmission?

  • What makes transmission more or less likely?

  • Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission?

  • What are the long term consequences?

What evidence is there of inter generational transmission?

How well does a parent’s score predict a child’s score?

What evidence is there of inter generational transmission?

What makes transmission more or less likely

Social learning theory suggests transmission rates should be higher when:

  • Families are more politicized
  • Context is more consistent

What makes transmission more or less likely

What makes transmission more or less likely

Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission

What happens if we control for alternative explanations

Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission

What are the long term consequences

If children are at least partly the product of their parents’ role as political socializers, then the degree of continuity among the socializees should represent the residue of parental influence over time.

What are the long term consequences

Does family socialization always lead to transmission?

Elias (2012)

Elias (2012)

The reason politicized parents are more likely to end up with adult children who have divergent partisan preferences is that, by facilitating political discussions at home, they make the offspring more attentive to the political messages of their times (p 848)

Schools as an agent of socialization

Schools as an agent of socialization

  • How would we know that it is schools and not factors associated with attending different schools that explained variation in political attitudes and behavior?

Schools as an agent of socialization

Schools as an agent of socialization

Green et al. (2011) randomly assign some students within schools to receive and enhanced civics education

  • Does civics education:

    • increase knowledge?

    • does that knowledge increase support for civil liberties

The Bill of Rights in Real Life

Design

Treatment increases knowledge of civil liberties

But has no effect on support for civil liberties

The state as an agent of socialization

Policy Feedback

  • Citizens shape politics and policies

  • Politics and policies can also shape citizens

Mettler (2002)

Resources and Interpretations

GI Bill increases engagement

GI Bill increases participation

Policy Feedback and the Carceral State

Policy Feedback and the Carceral State

Nature vs Nurture

Nature vs Nurture

  • Socialization focuses on environmental determinants of political attitudes and behavior (Nurture)

  • A growing body of research suggests many political differences have a dispositional component rooted in biological differences (Nature)

Biology and Politics

Different approaches for studying biology and politics

  • Twin studies

  • Candidate Gene studies

  • Physiological studies

  • Big 5 Personality traits

Alford, Funk, and Hibbing (2005)

Twin Studies

ACE Models

A = Additive genetic variance (Nature)

C = Shared environmental variance (Nurture)

E = Non-shared environmental variance (and measurement error)

ACE Models

Heritability of Political Attitudes

Heritability of Political Attitudes

Biology and Politics

Candidate Gene studies

  • Twin studies establish heritability but don’t address mechanism

  • Candidate gene studies attempt to go further looking at variation in specific genes (alleles) known to be associated with specific biological outcomes

Candidate Gene studies

Serotonin, pro-social behavior and the MAOA and 5HTT genes

Two genes predict turnout!

Or do they (Charney and English 2012)

Physiological studies

  • Candidate gene studies are challenging and problematic

  • Variation in physiological responses is highly heritable (more biologically determined) and more easily observable

  • Map this variation onto political differences suggest they too have a heritable component

Oxley et al. (2008)

Oxley et al. (2008)

Personality Traits

  • Hard to study physiological responses “in the wild”

  • Personality traits are also heritable and more easily measured

The “Big-Five”

  • Openness to new experience
  • Conscientiousness
  • Extroversion
  • Agreeableness
  • Neuroticism (Emotional stability)

TIPI

Personality and Politics

Personality and Politics

Direct Effects

Contingent Effects

Summary

  • Both nature and nurture matter
  • Neither environmental nor biological determinism
  • Studying biology and politics
    • Twin studies → heritability (of differences)
    • Gene and Physiological studies → mechanisms
    • Personality traits → broader implications

Group Discussion

  • What are the implications of debates about nature vs nurture for politics?
  • Is the divide and either/or or a continuum?
  • Does it matter how much of each?

Summary

  • Political socialization seeks to explain “what, how, and when political attitudes and behavior are learned”

  • Micro (process) vs Macro (outcomes)

  • Studying socialization is hard

    • Mechanisms often inferred rather than observed

    • Need good theory and design

  • Different agents of socialization

  • Variation in attitudes and behavior a product of both nature and nurture

POLS 1140

1
POLS 1140 Origins of political predispositions Updated Mar 9, 2025

  1. Slides

  2. Tools

  3. Close
  • POLS 1140
  • Monday
  • Plan
  • Group Projects
  • Next Week
  • Last Week
  • Final Papers
  • Final Paper Structure
  • Final Paper Structure
  • Wednesday
  • Plan
  • Talk on Friday:
  • Friday
  • Plan
  • Talk Today:
  • Egan (2012)
  • Review
  • Research Question
  • Theoretical framework
  • Selection and group cohesion
  • Why Selection Matters: Substantively
  • Why Selection Matters Empirically
  • Expectations:
  • Expectations:
  • Design
  • Matching
  • Little Variation in Support based on Candidates LGB Voting Records
  • Sexuality vs LGB Identification
  • Initial evidence of selection
  • Further evidence of selection
  • Matching creates balance on observed covariates
  • Quantifying selection effects
  • Selection explains group cohesion of LGB on policy and ideology
  • Differences exist before mobilization and acculturation
  • Summary
  • Political Socialization
  • Overview
  • What is political socialization?
  • What is political socialization?
  • Hyman (1959)
  • Social Learning
  • Easton and the making of citizens
  • Political Socialization and Political Learning
  • The rise (and fall) of political socialization
  • What explains this
  • What are the agents of political socialization?
  • What are the agents of political socialization?
  • What are the agents of political socialization?
  • Family as an agent of socialization
  • Family as an agent of socialization
  • Research questions
  • What evidence is there of inter generational transmission?
  • What evidence is there of inter generational transmission?
  • What makes transmission more or less likely
  • What makes transmission more or less likely
  • What makes transmission more or less likely
  • Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission
  • Are we sure it’s families doing the transmission
  • What are the long term consequences
  • What are the long term consequences
  • Does family socialization always lead to transmission?
  • Elias (2012)
  • Elias (2012)
  • Schools as an agent of socialization
  • Schools as an agent of socialization
  • Schools as an agent of socialization
  • Schools as an agent of socialization
  • The Bill of Rights in Real Life
  • Design
  • Treatment increases knowledge of civil liberties
  • But has no effect on support for civil liberties
  • The state as an agent of socialization
  • Policy Feedback
  • Mettler (2002)
  • Resources and Interpretations
  • GI Bill increases engagement
  • GI Bill increases participation
  • Policy Feedback and the Carceral State
  • Policy Feedback and the Carceral State
  • Nature vs Nurture
  • Nature vs Nurture
  • Biology and Politics
  • Alford, Funk, and Hibbing (2005)
  • Twin Studies
  • ACE Models
  • ACE Models
  • Heritability of Political Attitudes
  • Heritability of Political Attitudes
  • Biology and Politics
  • Candidate Gene studies
  • Candidate Gene studies
  • Serotonin, pro-social behavior and the MAOA and 5HTT genes
  • Two genes predict turnout!
  • Or do they (Charney and English 2012)
  • Physiological studies
  • Oxley et al. (2008)
  • Oxley et al. (2008)
  • Personality Traits
  • The “Big-Five”
  • TIPI
  • Personality and Politics
  • Personality and Politics
  • Direct Effects
  • Contingent Effects
  • Summary
  • Group Discussion
  • Summary
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